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Every Game Counts - Week 14 scenarios

By Jessica Braveman |  8/4/14 3:30 PM

Every Game Counts - Week 14 scenarios


The 2014 MLL season all comes down to this weekend, and every game counts. As of this point, no playoff spot is set in stone. Rochester, Denver and New York have all been guaranteed spots in the post-season, but their seed is still up in the air. With one spot remaining in the playoffs, both Boston and Ohio will need to play their best games of the season to claim that spot.

Here are all of the potential finishing spots and playoff scenarios for each team:

Chesapeake vs. Charlotte

Chesapeake and Charlotte play each other in the final game of the 2014 season. Although neither team has made the playoffs, this game will determine who gets the first pick of the 2015 MLL Collegiate Draft (team who takes the loss will receive first pick).

Boston and Ohio (Boston vs. Rochester, Ohio vs. Florida)

There are three different scenarios that could determine which of these two teams head to the playoffs. First, If Ohio wins, they are automatically into the playoffs. Second, if Ohio loses AND Boston loses, then Ohio is in the playoffs. Finally, if Boston wins and Ohio loses, then Boston is in the playoffs. In all situations, Boston or Ohio would be the #4 Seed.

Rochester, Denver and New York

With the top three teams, things get a little bit more complicated. For Rochester, Denver and New York, there are three different scenarios that could determine which seed the teams receive. The seeding is important to all three teams because the top two seeds will have home field advantage in the semifinals. Before we explain each of these scenarios, it is important to note that Rochester will never finish lower than the #2 Seed.

*It is important to note that there is a potential for the teams to tie. All tie-breaking scenarios can be found below the scenarios

Scenario 1—Denver and Rochester win, New York loses:

If Denver defeats New York and Rochester tops Boston, then both Denver and Rochester will finish with records of 10-4. In this scenario, Denver owns a +1 goal differential in the tie-breaker, and will therefore get the #1 Seed. Rochester will finish as the #2 Seed and New York will finish as the #3 Seed.

Scenario 2—New York and Rochester win, Denver loses:

If New York beats Denver and Rochester defeats Boston, then Rochester will finish 10-4 with the #1 Seed, and Denver and New York will be tied at 9-5. If Denver loses by four goals or less, they will get the #2 Seed and New York will finish with the #3 Seed because the goal differential between the Denver and New York is +5 in favor of the Outlaws. However, if Denver loses by five or more, New York gets the #2 Seed and Denver gets the #3 Seed. At an even goal differential between Denver and New York, the tie breaker would be decided by the total goal differential (currently stands at +9 for New York and +15 for Denver). With Denver losing by five goals, this differential would change to +14 for New York and +10 for Denver, giving New York the higher seed.

Scenario 3—New York wins, Denver and Rochester lose:

If New York defeats Denver and Boston defeats Rochester, then all three teams will finish at 9-5. This is where things get real tricky. In this scenario, the seeding will be determined by the goal differential between the three teams, with the New York-Denver score coming into play, whereas the Rochester differential will remain the same. Denver is currently +6, Rochester +2 and New York -8.

If Denver loses by four goals or less, then Denver gets the #1 Seed, Rochester gets the #2 Seed and New York gets the #3 Seed.

NY

Den

NY Diff

DEN Diff

ROC diff

1

-1

-7

5

2

2

-2

-6

4

2

3

-3

-5

3

2

4

-4

-4

2

2

If Denver loses by five or six goals, then Rochester gets the #1 Seed, Denver gets the #2 Seed and New York gets the #3 seed.

NY

Den

NY Diff

DEN Diff

ROC diff

5

-5

-3

1

2

6

-6

-2

0

2

If Denver loses by seven to 10 goals, Rochester gets the #1 Seed, New York gets the #2 Seed and Denver would fall to the #3 Seed.

NY

Den

NY Diff

DEN Diff

ROC diff

7

-7

-1

-1

2

8

-8

0

-2

2

9

-9

1

-3

2

10

-10

2

-4

2

And Finally, if Denver loses by 11 goals or more, then New York will get the #1 Seed, Rochester will get the #2 Seed and Denver will get the #3 Seed.

NY

Den

NY Diff

DEN Diff

ROC diff

11

-11

3

-5

2

Playoff Tie-Breakers

If two or more teams finish the regular season with the same win/loss percentages, the following steps will be taken to determine the seeds of the teams:

Two Teams Tied:

a) Best win/loss percentage in all head-to-head games (games between the tied teams)

b) Best total scoring margin (total point scored differential) in all head-to-head games

c) Best total scoring margin (total point scored differential) in all games

Three Teams Tied:

a) Best win/loss percentage in all games among the tied teams

b) Best total scoring margin (total point scored differential) in all games among the tied teams

c) Best total scoring margin (total point scored differential) in all games

Other Tie-Breaking Rules:

a) Only one team advances in any tie-breaking step. Any remaining tied teams follow the next applicable step

b) In comparing records among teams, the win/loss percentage is the deciding factor



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