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Breaking down Outlaws at Bayhawks

By William Griffin & Hannah McCaffrey |  6/14/13 2:00 PM

Breaking down Outlaws at Bayhawks


Chesapeake at Denver Statistical Analysis

Major League Lacrosse enters its seventh week of action this weekend, highlighted by Saturday night’s tilt between the Bayhawks and the Outlaws.  Undefeated Denver enters the game coming off a huge blowout win against the previously unbeaten Hamilton Nationals, securing sole possession of first place.  Chesapeake also comes in strong, after dismantling a young Lizards team, by 13 goals, in New York City last weekend.

The last time these teams met was in last final game of last season—the 2012 MLL Championship Game, in which Chesapeake came out holding the trophy.  Look for Denver to do everything in their power to redeem themselves from the Championship Game loss. 

Offense

Denver:

·         The Outlaws currently lead the league in goals (109), points (114) and shooting percentage (.384).

·         Attackman Chris Bocklet leads the league in goals scored; Mundorf is fourth and Snider is fifth.   

·         Attackman Brendan Mundorf is second in the league in assists; Jeremy Sieverts is second in two-point goals.

·         Average 18.17 goals per game, good for first in the MLL.

·         Denver has won their games by an average of 8.33 goals; closest margin was a four goal win over Boston.

·         42.9% (9-21) on the Power Play.

Chesapeake:

·         The Bayhawks are currently second in the league in goals (78), points (86) and fifth in shooting percentage (.272).

·         Attackman Ben Rubeor is third in the league in goals; Dixon is 7th, Westervelt 8th.

·         Midfielder Kyle Dixon is fourth in the league in assists and first in two point goals.

·         Average the second highest goals per game, 13 goals.

·         Chesapeake’s games have been much closer, with both of their losses being by one goal in overtime.

·         37.5% (12-32) on the Power Play.

Advantage: Denver

Denver’s ability to put up goal after goal, even against great goaltenders, is something that the Bayhawks are going to have trouble keeping up with.  Denver has won their games by an average of 8 goals; if Chesapeake wants to keep It close they must play close to perfect on offense . 

 

Defense

Denver:

·         Denver trails only Chesapeake in goals against with 63 total and 10.5 per game.

·         Denver is second in the MLL in points against, at 64 total.

·         Allows teams to get the third least amount of shots off per game, 23.67, only trailing Chesapeake by one.

·         77.3% (5-22) success on penalty kills.

Chesapeake:

·         Chesapeake leads the league in goals against with 54 total and 9 per game.

·         Chesapeake leads the league in points against with 57 total.

·         Allows teams to get the least amount of shots off per game, at 22.67.

·         Chesapeake spends more time in the penalty box than another team.  They have to be careful and keep their eyes on Denver’s Chris Bocklet, who leads the league in Power Play goals.

·         80.0% (6-30) success on penalty kills.

Advantage: Chesapeake

The advantage goes to Chesapeake because they have let in less than an average of 10 goals a game, better than anyone else in the league. This week, however, will be their biggest test.  They have yet to face an offense that even comes close to how productive Denver has been throughout the season. 

 

Goaltending

Denver:

·         Jesse Schwartzman has played 311 minutes of the team’s 360 minutes.

·         Schwartzman: 6-0 record (1st), 10.61 GAA (3rd), 67 Saves (3rd), .549 Save percentage (2nd), 1 two point goal allowed.

·         Chesapeake relies heavily on two-point goals, but Schwartzman has only let one two-pointer get passed him.

Chesapeake:

·         Kip Turner has played 295 minutes of the team’s 360 minutes.

·         Turner: 3-2 record (3rd), 8.32 GAA (1st), 68 saves (2nd), .624 save percentage  (1st), 1 two point goal allowed.

Advantage: Chesapeake

Arguably the top two goalies in Major League Lacrosse, but Chesapeake has the slightest advantage in the goaltending section.  The difference couldn’t be any closer and you could make an argument either way.  There’s a very good chance that this game is decided between the pipes, with offenses and defenses that are as equal as these two are, a clutch save in the fourth quarter very well could be the deciding factor.

 

Conclusion

The Chesapeake-Denver matchup couldn’t be any more exciting as the defending MLL champions take on the currently undefeated Outlaw squad.  With arguably the two best offenses, the two best defenses, and two very equal goaltenders, look for this game to go down to the wire.  Luckily for Chesapeake, the game is not being played in Denver, where their spirited and informed crowd can cause havoc for visiting teams. 

The game will be broadcast LIVE nationally on CBS Sports Network on Saturday 6/15 at 6:30p.m. EST.  Don’t miss it!



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