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Breaking down Lizards at Hounds

By Kelsey Doherty & Kyle Lange |  7/19/13 2:00 PM

Breaking down Lizards at Hounds


Saturday evening the Charlotte Hounds will host the New York Lizards at American Legion Memorial Stadium. Both are looking for the chance to prove themselves and earn a week 11 win. Below is a breakdown and analysis based on stats and past performances, carefully weighing to determine who may have the advantage in what looks to be a close game. To watch this game and see if the predictions are correct, tune in to ESPN2 at 4:00pm ET on Saturday, July 20.

Offense

Charlotte:

  • The Hounds have one of the top ten scorers in the league on their roster, Matt Danowski (34 pts), and Ryan Young (29pts) is eleventh in the League.
  • Charlotte is middle of the pack, scoring 128 goals in 2013. They started strong, and for the first seven weeks Charlotte trailed only Denver in goals-scored.
  • Midfielder, Peet Poillon, is tied for second in the League, with four two-point goals.
  • Attackman and captain, Matt Danowski, has scored at least two points in every appearance this season.  This includes one seven-point game, and five games with at least four goals.
  • Charlotte has scored at least 11 points in every game this season, a record that only the Denver Outlaws can beat.

New York:

  • The Lizards scoring efforts are lead by rookie, Rob Pannell, with 24 points on the season.
  • Cumulatively the Lizards have 147 points on the season, including assists and goals.
  • Rob Pannell has scored at least two points in every game he has played this season, including three five-point games.
  • New York is only seventh in the League with 99 goals on the season, lead by Pannell, Tommy Palasek (20pts) and Mark Matthews (17pts).
  • New York is tied with the Ohio Machine in last place for shots on goal with 222.

Advantage: Charlotte

The Charlotte Hounds have put together a much more consistent offense, one that posts points regardless of who they’re playing.  Even against the Denver Outlaws, the Hounds were able to post 16 points in their first game and 11 in their second game. This is more points than any other team has scored against the League’s best defense. The Lizards are dependent on Rob Pannell to produce but he alone is not enough. With only 222 shots on goal, they need to make more scoring opportunities for themselves if they want to keep pace with the Hounds.

Defense

Charlotte:

  • Charlotte lays claim to an All-Star defense, literally. Both defenseman Brett Schmidt and Ryan Flanagan saw playing time in the 2013 MLL All-Star Game.
  • Charlotte’s Tim Fallon leads the League in groundballs, with 86 on the season.
  • Charlotte has only allowed four two-point goals, tied for the second fewest in the League.  This means their defense is protecting the goal, and not allowing the opposing offense to shoot from outside the two-point line.
  • Charlotte has allowed 137 goals, tied with the Boston Cannons for the most goals allowed in 2013.

New York:

  • Faceoff man, Greg Gurenlian boasts a league-best .613 faceoff win percentage, with a 157-256 record.
  • New York rests in fifth place for goals against with 124, 13 better than Charlotte’s 137.
  • All-Star defenseman, Brian Karalunas, has scooped up 21 ground balls on the season, right behind fellow defenseman, Steven Waldeck with 22. Gurenlian leads the team with 66.
  • New York is in sixth place for most two point goals allowed with six, meaning their defense has not managed to cover their territory as well as other teams’.

Advantage: Charlotte

This one is close, but Charlotte just barely has the advantage. The Hounds have the ability to zero in on a player and put a stop to their scoring, making sure they provide complete coverage. This was seen in Charlotte’s first meet up with Boston when they held Paul Rabil scoreless, unfortunately this opened up the rest of the Boston midfield and Charlotte could not hold on for a win.  However, The Hounds’ ability to cover may be enough to stop Rob Pannell, and only leave scoring to Matthews and Palasek.  The Lizards can also start from the “x” with an advantage, as Greg Gurenlian is expected win a majority of the faceoffs over Charlotte’s Tim Fallon.

In Goal

Charlotte:

  • The Hounds goalie, Adam Ghitelman, trails with only a .477 save percentage, a league-worst for starting goalies.
  • Ghitelman’s 12.81 goals against average, is seventh in the League.
  • While Ghitelman’s numbers do not look great, he does have 543:10 minutes of playing time in goal, just behind Drew Adams.

New York:

  • 2012 Warrior Goalie of the Year Drew Adams currently leads goalies in saves with 141 saves in 10 games.
  • Adams is in fifth place for goals against average with 12.34.
  • Adams’ six allowed two-point goals, has him tied for second most allowed, behind Jordan Burke.

Advantage: New York

New York’s All-Star goalie, Drew Adams, is exactly what most teams wish they had in goal. Adams’ 141 saves are a testament to his defensive skills and athleticism.  Adam’s has spent more time on the field than any other goalie, with just over 598 minutes, proving to be a dependable and efficient goal tender. His .534 save percentage is nothing to scoff at either. He certainly has the advantage over Ghitelman, who shows some inconsistencies and a below .500 save percentage.  

Who has the overall advantage? Charlotte

Both teams are coming off of losses and have something to prove as they approach the end of the season with win percentages below .500. The Hounds as a whole have played close games and just fallen short on several occasions. This is the second matchup between the two teams in 2013, and Charlotte walked away with the 14-12 win on May 31. Not much has changed for Charlotte since then, they’ve continued to produce goals, and remain competitive with rookies Mike Sawyer and Eric Lusby. The Lizards have seen much greater deficits in their losses this season, and are currently on a three-game losing streak. The Lizards do boast a great faceoff man in Gurenlian, and a reliable goalie in Adam’s, but if they can’t find the goal at the other end of the field, faceoff wins and saves will be irrelevant. The Hounds and Lizards both are not where they want to be this season, but consistency is something they’ll need to work on if they want to win this one. 



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